UK Race Closer Than You Think

Fire of Liberty

While Tony Blair and Labour are flying high after reading latest polls in the UK press which show them commanding a large lead over the Tories, this piece in The Financial Times might bring them down a few thousand feet. See what the FT has to say:

But when MORI asked the same question of people who said they were "absolutely certain" to vote, the lead contracted to just two points, with Labour getting 36 per cent of the vote and the Conservatives 34 per cent.

The difference between the two poll samples shows how important it is for Mr Blair to ensure that his supporters put aside unhappiness with his decision to take Britain to war in Iraq and vote for him on May 5.

Winning with a 10-point margin would secure a 148-seat majority in the 646-member House of Commons.

A two point lead would reduce Labour's majority to 84.

It just goes to show you that you should never count your chickens until they've hatched. (Trust me, I have a mess of chickens in my yard) Expect some surprises on the May 5 election.